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Polls Show Democrats Ahead as Midterms Near, While House Republicans Hold Slim Fundraising Edge

Image from The New York Times's coverage: Democrats Have a Wide Lead in Our New Poll as Trump SlidesPhoto: The New York Times
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Democrats lead Republicans in new national polling two weeks before the midterm elections, while House Republicans hold a narrow fundraising edge. A CNN poll found Democrats ahead by 10 points in the race for Congress, their widest lead of the cycle in CNN polling. A New York Times poll also showed a wide Democratic lead as Trump's numbers slide. The Times said the map favors Republicans, but cracks in their base leave them vulnerable in defending House and Senate control. Separately, House Republicans enter the final two weeks with a rare, razor-thin fundraising advantage over House Democrats, who outraised them by $84 million in 2024 and $74 million in 2022.

Alternative coverage, from Axios, leads with money rather than polls: Republicans are holding their own financially even as they face mounting political headwinds. Left-leaning coverage, from The New York Times, centers on its own poll, Trump's decline and Republican base weakness. Right-leaning coverage, from Newsmax, leads with the CNN poll's 10-point Democratic lead. All three sources point to a difficult environment for Republicans, though only the alternative source highlights a Republican advantage.

How the sides differ Left and right sources lead with Democrats' polling advantage; alternative sources lead with House Republicans' narrow fundraising lead despite political headwinds.

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Left · 2 sources The New York TimesDemocrats Have a Wide Lead in Our New Poll as Trump Slides

The New York Times leads with its own poll showing a wide Democratic lead and Trump slipping. It stresses that cracks in the Republican base threaten House and Senate control despite a favorable map.

Alternative AxiosExclusive: House GOP clings to 2026 fundraising lead

Axios leads with an exclusive on House Republicans' razor-thin fundraising lead, set against Democrats' larger 2022 and 2024 edges. It notes Republicans face political headwinds.

Right NewsmaxCNN Poll: Democrats Open 10-Point Congressional Lead

Newsmax leads with a CNN poll showing Democrats up 10 points in the congressional race, their widest lead of the cycle in CNN polling, two weeks before the midterms.