New York Times/Siena Poll Shows Democrats Ahead in Several Senate Races Days Before Midterms
Photo: Fox NewsA New York Times/Siena poll released Sunday, days before the midterm elections, found Democratic candidates leading Republicans in seven key Senate battlegrounds. Democrats were ahead in five states currently represented by Republican senators: Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio and Texas. The race in Iowa was virtually tied. In Michigan, the only Democratic-held seat surveyed, the party's candidate held a double-digit lead. The poll also showed Democrats with an edge in Ohio's race for governor. Don Levy, executive director of the Siena Research Institute, said the results suggest Democrats could win control of the Senate but cautioned that many races fall within the margin of error, so a majority for either party remains possible. Texas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988. Separately, the Decision Desk HQ forecast map moved the Texas, Alaska and Maine Senate races to the Democratic column, and it gave Democrats a 64% probability of winning the Senate.
CBS News, the left-leaning outlet, leads with the Ohio results, headlining that Democrats lead both the Senate and gubernatorial races there, and brings on Nina Turner, a former Democratic state senator and Bernie Sanders' 2020 campaign co-chair, to discuss them. Its excerpt does not mention the other states or Levy's caution. Fox News, the right-leaning outlet, frames the poll as a warning for Republicans and broadens the lens to seven battlegrounds, stressing that Texas and Kansas are longtime GOP strongholds. It quotes Levy's caveat and features Kansas and South Carolina reporters on how undecided voters could decide Senate control. Both sides rely on the same Times/Siena poll and report Democratic leads in Ohio. They differ in scope and voices: CBS stays on Ohio with a Democratic figure, while Fox surveys the whole map with local journalists and the pollster. NewsNation, the independent outlet, offers a different source, the DDHQ forecast probability, rather than the poll.
How the sides differ Left sources focus on Ohio's Senate and governor races; right sources stress warning signs for Republicans across seven Senate races; alternative sources cite a forecast of Democratic Senate odds.
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CBS News leads with the Ohio Senate and governor races, citing the Times/Siena poll and featuring Democrat Nina Turner in discussion.
NewsNation focuses on the Decision Desk HQ map, reporting that Texas, Alaska and Maine flipped to Democrats and that Democrats have a 64% chance of Senate control.
Fox News frames the poll as warning signs for Republicans in seven battlegrounds, quoting pollster Don Levy's caveats and featuring Kansas and South Carolina reporters on undecided voters.